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Majority of Americans now support tax law: Poll

A new poll shows more Americans now support the GOP tax reform than oppose it, boosting Republican chances for keeping their congressional majority this fall.

The poll, published in the New York Times conducted by SurveyMonkey, shows that 51 percent of Americans now approve of the new law, while 46 percent remain opposed.

"Public opinion is moving in the direction of this bill," Chief Research Officer for SurveyMonkey Jon Cohen told the Times. "Considering where it was, it is dramatically different."

Support for the law has been on the rise since its passage in December when only 26 percent of Americans approved of the bill, according to Monmouth University. In a new poll released last month, the university showed that support had risen to 44 percent nationally.

Support for the law has grown even among Democrats, with 19 percent now supporting it compared to 8 percent who supported the bill in December.

Congressional Republicans and Democrats are both betting their chances of success in the fall midterm elections largely on the popularity of tax reform, with Republicans embracing the law and Democrats campaigning against it.

The Congressional Leadership Fund, Speaker Paul Ryan's super PAC to keep the Republican majority in the House, released a memo last month urging Republicans to sell the tax bill as the "key to success" in the upcoming midterm elections.

"Republicans need to communicate the benefits of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act," the memo states. "If and when we are able to show voters that this legislation cuts middle-class taxes, we will be able to point to a huge accomplishment members can run on."

Meanwhile, Democrats are struggling to deal with the law's rising popularity.

Priorities USA, a top Democratic super PAC released its version of the CLF memo last week, urging Democrats to be more consistent in its message against the tax law.

"Even while waging other important fights, Democrats must continue to focus on economic issues like taxes and health care and not allow themselves to be sidetracked and distracted by Trump's latest tweets," the memo reads.

Democrats have the historical advantage going into this year's midterms. Incumbent members of the president's party have typically done poorly in the first midterm elections following the inauguration of the new president, and this year appears to be no exception given the current president's unpopularity.

However, the rising popularity of the tax law has helped Republican chances at maintaining their congressional majority, as another poll released last week by Politico shows Republicans leading in the generic congressional ballot for the first time.

The Politico poll shows that 39 percent of voters saying they would vote for the GOP candidate for Congress in their district and 38 percent of voters saying they would back the Democratic candidate, while 23 percent remain undecided.

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